

Sort of. The article is making the argument that on a cosmic timescale, one won’t even need a “great filter” to explain Fermi’s paradox. Any civilization with even a minuscule chance of eradicating itself will eventually do so given billions of years.










Ah I see what you mean now. You’re right, but that’s not really what’s being stated in the article. Boiled down, they’re essentially making the argument that if you accept that a civilization can eradicate itself (via nuclear war, climate change, plague, a generation of ipad kids, etc etc), even if you calculate that chance of eradication to be infinitesimally small, then given cosmic time scales it becomes a near inevitability.