If you are producing X with 20 people, and AI reduces the burden on each of them by 10%, what do you think is more likely:
they start producing 10% more product (despite constant demand), or
they reduce their costs by 10%?
Obviously not every position gets eliminated - some of those companies will produce more, instead. But to claim there’s no net loss of jobs is just plain silly.
Um, yes? Of course, there is a time scale to everything, but yes, that is what “net” means. If someone loses a job and then gets another, then net job loss is 0.
The unemployment rate goes up and down all the time for any number of reasons. Maybe AI will make it go up for a bit. But based on past trends, we can assume it will go back down again. It is unlikely we will end up in “end of the world, ai has taken all the jobs” territory any time soon.
Seems like you are saying “because we invented the train, now there are no more jobs for carriage drivers.”
What I’m saying is AI has already proven to replace at least a couple of tasks if not entire existing jobs.
Right, but it doesn’t follow that there is a net loss of jobs.
If you are producing X with 20 people, and AI reduces the burden on each of them by 10%, what do you think is more likely:
they start producing 10% more product (despite constant demand), or
they reduce their costs by 10%?
Obviously not every position gets eliminated - some of those companies will produce more, instead. But to claim there’s no net loss of jobs is just plain silly.
The number of jobs to produce X decreases by 10%.
Increased available labor then shifts to producing Y.
So there’s no net job loss because the people who are laid off will eventually find new jobs? What on earth?
Given that mindset, then is all unemployment just fake? After all, they should just be finding a new job
Um, yes? Of course, there is a time scale to everything, but yes, that is what “net” means. If someone loses a job and then gets another, then net job loss is 0.
The unemployment rate goes up and down all the time for any number of reasons. Maybe AI will make it go up for a bit. But based on past trends, we can assume it will go back down again. It is unlikely we will end up in “end of the world, ai has taken all the jobs” territory any time soon.
How many horses are alive now compared to 100 years ago?