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Cake day: June 11th, 2023

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  • With his second strikeout Tuesday, he surpassed the Phillies’ José Alvarado for the most strikeouts in a row by a pitcher since at least 1961. (Play-by-play data isn’t fully available before then, so it’s impossible to know the all-time record.) Estrada finished the night by tacking on a 13th straight, for good measure.

    Estrada was at his own birthday dinner in early November when he received a call from his agent letting him know he’d been placed on outright waivers by the Cubs. His 2023 season, in no uncertain terms, was a rough one. Between Triple-A and the Majors, Estrada walked an unsightly 38 batters across 39 1/3 innings. A few days later, he was claimed by the Padres.

    “We knew the stuff was there,” pitching coach Ruben Niebla said. “It was just a matter of how consistent he can be in the zone.”

    Now? It feels like Estrada lives in the strike zone, with a 7-1 strikeout-to-walk ratio this season. All it took was a mechanical overhaul and a complete reinvention of his two offspeed pitches. No biggie.



































    • Minnesota: under, although not by much. I think 89 wins is going to be tough, but they got a deep bullpen and if they can be healthy this year they probably do well.
    • Cleveland: under, unless their rotation can be more productive and throw more innings.
    • Detroit: equal or under. I think they’ll take a step forward. Especially Torkelson and Skubal and hopefully we’ll see Jace Jung this year. But they’re leaning a lot on Baez, Urshela and Vierling to fill the left side of the infield.
    • Kansas City: over. With upgrades to their bullpen and rotation they should at least be better than their 56 wins last year. And I think Witt will find another level and Paquantino will take a step. Maybe it’s more a hopeful ‘over’ though
    • Chicago: under. A lot has to go right for this team to be better than last year and I think they’ll trade Cease (maybe more) at the deadline, if not earlier.

  • I’ll start it off:

    • Under on New York, unless they end up getting Blake Snell. I think they’ll be good anyway, but I’m not sure on 94 wins because they’ll probably have multiple injuries.
    • Over on Toronto. I think Vlad will be better, Varsho to perform more like his D-back days and Bo to take another step. And the rotation is still solid, even more if Manoah can get back on track.
    • Over on Tampa. Because they’re Tampa
    • Over on Baltimore. Don’t think an explanation is necessary.
    • Under on Boston if they don’t get Monty.