if I cant see it, it isn’t real. I don’t even deny quantum, I deny you, and myself if no mirror is near.

My copy of the singularity is near also does that btw.

https://bsky.app/profile/robertdownen.bsky.social/post/3lwwntxygqc2w Thiel doing a neo-nazi thing. For people keeping score.

Interesting wondering if they manage to come further in the process than our gov, which seems to restart the process every few years, and then either discovers nobody wants to do it (it being building bigger reactors, not the smaller ones, which iirc from a post here are not likely two work out) for a reasonable price, or the gov falls again over their lies about foreigners and we restart the whole voting cycle again. (It is getting really crazy, our fused green/labour party is now being called the dumbest stuff by the big rightwing liberal party (who are not openly far right, just courting it a lot)).

29 okt are our new elections. Lets see what the ratio between formation and actually ruling is going to be this time. (Last time it took 223 days for a cabinet to form, and from my calculations they ruled for only 336 days).

Proof that we live in the bad place.

I think they will just start to make up capabilities, also with the added capabilities of quantum of a computing paradigm, AGI is back on the menu. Now, due to quantum without all the expensive datacenters and problems. We are gonna put quantum in glasses! VR/Augmented reality quantum AI glasses!

So, as I have been on a cult comparison kick lately, how did it work for those doomsday cults when the world didn’t end, and they picked a new date, did they become more radicalized or less? (I’m not sure myself, I’d assume it would be the people disappointed leave, and the rest get worse).

E: ah: https://slate.com/technology/2011/05/apocalypse-2011-what-happens-to-a-doomsday-cult-when-the-world-doesn-t-end.html

… prophecies, per se, almost never fail. They are instead component parts of a complex and interwoven belief system which tends to be very resilient to challenge from outsiders. While the rest of us might focus on the accuracy of an isolated claim as a test of a group’s legitimacy, those who are part of that group—and already accept its whole theology—may not be troubled by what seems to them like a minor mismatch. A few people might abandon the group, typically the newest or least-committed adherents, but the vast majority experience little cognitive dissonance and so make only minor adjustments to their beliefs. They carry on, often feeling more spiritually enriched as a result.

Surely they have proof for the already increased capabilities of coding. Because increased capabilities is quite something to claim. It isn’t just productivity, but capabilities. Can they put a line on the graph where capabilities reach the ‘can solve the knapsack problem correctly and fast’ bit?

That opening has a strong ‘omg what the fuck happened there, and why are you still friends with these people if it is that bad’ vibes.

Lots of ex Maplers I’ve talked to are variously angry, some (newly) traumatized, confused, etc., but the vibe has generally been "gosh it’s fucking complicated

Lot of people told me they were mad, but I got the vibe it was complicated. lol what…

The product of monasteries is saints, at least in small quantities.

Wrong, it is beer.

I haven’t seen anti-safetyist arguments that actually address the technical claims made by Eliezer etc.

I agree with him there. But hard to make arguments against something which doesn’t exist. ;)

it will take some very unusual kind of virtue and skill

Love how we went from ‘you need to learn rationality, and be aware of your biasses’ to you need to have virtue. And ignore the screaming in the backgrounds, that is just the academics who studied ethics doing their normal thing again.

Anyway the rest gets pretty dark pretty quickly, and I just see red flags (for people who believe in data this devolves very quickly in just going ‘people are prob better off due to this, the new trauma doesn’t count because of preexisting conditions, consent and trauma always happening’). And this was the article they wrote not wanting to harm the project.

Wait one more remark:

Furthermore I think that probably with the exception of the one actual AI researcher there, people at Maple basically don’t understand what AI is

Hahahaha, perfect.

It also reminds me of the interview with Metz where they got mad Metz used religious terms. (you know, last week).

also explicitly meant as rationalist esoterica.

Always a bad sign when people can’t just let a thing be a thing just for enjoyment, but see everything as the ‘hustle’ (for lack of a better word). I’m reminded of that dating profile we looked at which showed that 99% what he did was related to AI and AI doomerism, even the parties.

Yeah, but he used to have forums, and then a blog, and then no blog and then a blog again, and then a hidden blog etc. Think Howard has only a few minor credits on some games, he always came off as a bit of a weirdly combative nerd who thought he was right and the smartest in the room and didn’t get that people didn’t agree with his definitions/assumptions. He is a big idea guy for example. One of his comics was also called ‘the atheist, the agnostic and the asshole’ so yeah. The 00’s online comic world was something.

the hucksters attempt to inflate next.

Quantum, it has already started: https://www.schneier.com/blog/archives/2025/07/cheating-on-quantum-computing-benchmarks.html

I never read 8bit. I read A Modest Destiny. Wonder how that guy is doing, he always was a bit weird and combative, but when he deleted his blog it was getting very early signs of right wing culture warrior bits (which was ironic considering he burned a us flag).

Yes but basic dnd does have a lot of racism build in, esp with Gygax not being great on that end (nits make lice he said about how it lawful for paladins to kill orc babies). They did drop the sexism pretty quickly, but no big suprise his daughters were not into it. It certainly helps with the whole hierarchical mindset. My int/level is higher than yours so im better than you stuff. And sadly a lot of people do have trouble keeping both seperate (and even that isn’t always ideal, esp in larps).

But yes this, considering the context ks def a bit of a case of some of their ideologies, or ideological fantasies bleeding through. (Esp considering, Yud has been corrected on his faulty understanding of genetics before).

Well if the bubble pops he will have to pivot to people who pivot. (That is what is going to suck when to bubble pops, so many people are going to lose their jobs, and I fear a lot of people holding the bags are not the ones who really should be punished the mosts (really hope not a lot of pension funds bought in). The stock market was a mistake).

Not sure if anybody noticed the last time, but so they get isekayed into a DND world, which famously runs on some weird form of fantasy feudalism and they expect a random high int person to rule the country somehow? What in the primogenitor is this stuff, you can’t just think yourself into being a king, that is one of the issues with monarchies.

E: ah no they are in a totalitarian state ruled by the literal forces of hell, places that totally praise merit based upwards mobility.

slaps moon You can make so much computronium from these atoms.

E: shit no that is wrong, I used the term computronium correctly, if it was Altman he would have called it unobtanium

Found a solution to the Fermi paradox, and solved the problem of all the ‘dark matter’, any advanced society just puts a dyson sphere around their galaxy, that is why we can’t see or hear from them.

(Yes, this is a subsneer for the silly Altman remark. The whole solar system not just the Sun (I do support walling off The Sun)).

And how it fused Buddhism with more Christian religions. Considering how often you heard of old hackers being interested in the former.

Free people have less prodictivity, time to wirehead everyone! A Brave New World!